MIN @ MIA Preview | The Extra Inch

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Away Minnesota Timberwolves

0 mi travel since 05/15

Proj –

Home Miami Heat

654 mi travel since 04/12

Proj –

Spread: MIA -1.5
Total: O 240.50
Moneyline lean: N/A
Model picks: Pending

Current odds

Updated hourly. Check the sportsbook for the latest.

FanDuel

Team	Spread	Total	ML
MIN	+1.50 -112	O O 240.50 -105	+102
MIA	-1.50 -108	U U 240.50 -115	-120

DraftKings

Team	Spread	Total	ML
MIN	+1.50 -108	O O 240.50 -105	+102
MIA	-1.50 -112	U U 240.50 -115	-122

Model picks

Model picks for this game aren't posted yet. They appear after the morning run.

MIN model accuracy

Scenario	W	L	Hit rate
Overall	-	-	N/A
Away games	-	-	N/A
As fav / dog	-	-	N/A
Combined scenario	-	-	N/A

MIA model accuracy

Scenario	W	L	Hit rate
Overall	-	-	N/A
Home games	-	-	N/A
As fav / dog	-	-	N/A
Combined scenario	-	-	N/A

Last 10 games

MIN last 10

Date	Game	Result
–	–	–
05/15	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–

MIA last 10

Date	Game	Result
–	–	–
04/12	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–
–	–	–

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

Jaden McDaniels

Status: Out

Date: 2026-03-30

McDaniels is week-to-week with left knee patella tendinopathy and a bone bruise, per Marc J. Spears of ESPN.com.

Anthony Edwards

Status: Out

Date: 2026-03-29

Edwards (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Mavericks.

Rocco Zikarsky

Status: Day-to-day

Date: 2026-03-29

The Timberwolves recalled Zikarsky from the G League's Iowa Wolves on Thursday.

Miami Heat Injuries

Pelle Larsson

Status: Day-to-day

Date: 2026-03-30

Larsson (triceps) is probable for Monday's game against the 76ers.

Norman Powell

Status: Out

Date: 2026-03-30

Powell (illness) is out for Monday's game against the 76ers.

Terry Rozier

Status: Out

Date: 2026-03-19

The Heat are planning to release Rozier in the near future, Anthony Chiang of the Miami Herald reports.

Season averages

Minnesota Timberwolves Averages

Stat	Average	Away Average
Field Goal Attempts	98.0	98.0
Field Goals Made	46.0	46.0
Three-Point Attempts	50.0	50.0
Three-Point Made	21.0	21.0
Free Throw Attempts	29.0	29.0
Free Throws Made	18.0	18.0
Offensive Rebounds	17.0	17.0
Defensive Rebounds	35.0	35.0
Assists	20.0	20.0
Steals	11.0	11.0
Blocks	2.0	2.0
Turnovers	14.0	14.0
Personal Fouls	26.0	26.0
Points	131.0	131.0

Miami Heat Averages

Stat	Average	Home Average
Field Goal Attempts	81.0	81.0
Field Goals Made	39.0	39.0
Three-Point Attempts	33.0	33.0
Three-Point Made	8.0	8.0
Free Throw Attempts	26.0	26.0
Free Throws Made	20.0	20.0
Offensive Rebounds	4.0	4.0
Defensive Rebounds	30.0	30.0
Assists	27.0	27.0
Steals	7.0	7.0
Blocks	5.0	5.0
Turnovers	18.0	18.0
Personal Fouls	28.0	28.0
Points	106.0	106.0

Recent form

Rolling averages over the last 3, 5 and 10 games

Rolling Averages

Field Goal Percentage (FG%)

Team	Last 10 Games	Last 5 Games	Last 3 Games
FG%	47.0%	48.0%
MIN FG%	47.0%	47.0%	47.0%
MIA FG%	48.0%	48.0%	48.0%

Three-Point Percentage (3P%)

Team	Last 10 Games	Last 5 Games	Last 3 Games
3P%	42.0%	24.0%
MIN 3P%	42.0%	42.0%	42.0%
MIA 3P%	24.0%	24.0%	24.0%

Free Throw Percentage (FT%)

Team	Last 10 Games	Last 5 Games	Last 3 Games
FT%	62.0%	77.0%
MIN FT%	62.0%	62.0%	62.0%
MIA FT%	77.0%	77.0%	77.0%

Points

Team	Last 10 Games	Last 5 Games	Last 3 Games
MIN Points	131.0	131.0	131.0
MIA Points	106.0	106.0	106.0

Quarterly Points and Points in Paint Comparison

Team	1st Q	2nd Q	3rd Q	4th Q	PIP
MIN	27.5	27.4	29.4	28.4	47.4
MIA	28.0	27.8	27.6	25.6	46.9

Team Performance Breakdown

Away

Home

Detailed Stats

Field Goals Attempted (FGA)

98.0 81.0

Field Goals Made (FGM)

46.0 39.0

Three-Point Attempts (TPA)

50.0 33.0

Three-Point Made (TPM)

21.0 8.0

Free Throws Attempted (FTA)

29.0 26.0

Free Throws Made (FTM)

18.0 20.0

Field Goal Percentage (FGP)

N/A N/A

Three-Point Percentage (TPP)

N/A N/A

Free Throw Percentage (FTP)

N/A N/A

Offensive Rebounds (ORR)

17.0 4.0

Defensive Rebounds (DER)

35.0 30.0

Assists (AST)

20.0 27.0

Steals (STL)

11.0 7.0

Blocks (BLK)

2.0 5.0

Turnovers (TOO)

14.0 18.0

Personal Fouls (PF)

26.0 28.0

Points (PTS)

131.0 106.0

Projected Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves

LaMelo Ball

Position: PG

PTS 21

REB 2

AST 6

STL 2

BLK 0

FG% 41%

3P% 38%

FT% 67%

Anthony Edwards

Position: SG

PTS 45

REB 10

AST 3

STL 2

BLK 1

FG% 55.0%

3P% 53%

FT% 80%

Jaden McDaniels

Position: SF

PTS 17

REB 8

AST 1

STL 3

BLK 0

FG% 73%

3P% 33%

FT% 0%

Jonathan Kuminga

Position: PF

PTS 12

REB 1

AST 3

STL 4

BLK 1

FG% 50%

3P% 50%

FT% 0%

Rudy Gobert

Position: C

PTS 5

REB 15

AST 1

STL 0

BLK 0

FG% 0%

3P% 0%

FT% 63%

Miami Heat

Davion Mitchell

Position: PG

PTS 11

REB 0

AST 11

STL 0

BLK 1

FG% 50%

3P% 50%

FT% 100%

Klay Thompson

Position: SG

PTS 10

REB 1

AST 0

STL 0

BLK 0

FG% 50%

3P% 50%

FT% 100%

Andrew Wiggins

Position: SF

PTS 11

REB 2

AST 1

STL 0

BLK 0

FG% 45%

3P% 25%

FT% 0%

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Position: PF

PTS 35

REB 6

AST 1

STL 1

BLK 0

FG% 68%

3P% 0%

FT% 64%

Bam Adebayo

Position: C

PTS 15

REB 7

AST 4

STL 3

BLK 0

FG% 50%

3P% 20%

FT% 67%

Race to Milestones

Race to 10 Points

Quarter	MIN	Win %	VS	MIA	Win %
Q1	0/0	0%	•	/	%
Q2	/	%	•	/	%
Q3	/	%	•	/	%
Q4	/	%	•	/	%

Race to 15 Points

Quarter	MIN	Win %	VS	MIA	Win %
Q1	/	%	•	/	%
Q2	/	%	•	/	%
Q3	/	%	•	/	%
Q4	/	%	•	/	%

Head-to-Head Race To Snapshot

Race to 10

Qtr	MIN First	MIA First	MIN %	MIA %	Games	Edge
Q1	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even
Q2	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even
Q3	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even
Q4	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even

Includes only quarters reaching 10 points.

Race to 15

Qtr	MIN First	MIA First	MIN %	MIA %	Games	Edge
Q1	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even
Q2	1	1	50.0%	50.0%	2	Even
Q3	2	0	100.0%	0.0%	2	Away
Q4	2	0	100.0%	0.0%	2	Away

Includes only quarters reaching 15 points.

Recent Matchups (Race to 10)

Date	Home	Away	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
2024-11-10	Timberwolves	Heat	Heat	Heat	Heat	Timberwolves
2025-03-07	Heat	Timberwolves	Timberwolves	Timberwolves	Timberwolves	Heat

Date	Home	Away	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
2024-11-10	Timberwolves	Heat	Heat	Timberwolves	Timberwolves	Timberwolves
2025-03-07	Heat	Timberwolves	Timberwolves	Heat	Timberwolves	Timberwolves

Quarter and Halftime Leaders (League Snapshot)

Q1 Leaders

Team	GP	Lead	% Lead	Avg Q MOV	Wins When Lead	Avg Final MOV
No data.

Q2 Leaders

Team	GP	Lead	% Lead	Avg Q MOV	Wins When Lead	Avg Final MOV
No data.

Q3 Leaders

Team	GP	Lead	% Lead	Avg Q MOV	Wins When Lead	Avg Final MOV
No data.

Q4 Leaders

Team	GP	Lead	% Lead	Avg Q MOV	Wins When Lead	Avg Final MOV
No data.

Halftime Leaders

Team	GP	Lead	% Lead	Avg HT MOV	Wins When Lead	Avg Final MOV
No data.

Current odds

Model picks

MIN model accuracy

MIA model accuracy

Last 10 games

MIN last 10

MIA last 10

Team Injuries

Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

Miami Heat Injuries

Season averages

Minnesota Timberwolves Averages

Miami Heat Averages

Recent form

Field Goal Percentage (FG%)

Three-Point Percentage (3P%)

Free Throw Percentage (FT%)

Points

Quarterly Points and Points in Paint Comparison

Team Performance Breakdown

Detailed Stats

Projected Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves

Miami Heat

Race to Milestones

Race to 10 Points

Race to 15 Points

Head-to-Head Race To Snapshot

Recent Matchups (Race to 10)

Recent Matchups (Race to 15)

Quarter and Halftime Leaders (League Snapshot)