The read
Model: CLE by 6 · 234 total
Spread
WSH +9.5
3.5 pt edge
Game total
Under 239.5
5.5 pt edge
WSH total
Under 114.5
0.5 pt edge
CLE total
Under 124.5
4.5 pt edge
Moneyline lean CLE. Model against the spread this season: 24-16 (60%). Early season: 3 games played, so projections swing more than usual.
The situation
WSHLast 5: 2-21 day restRoad game 3 in a row436 mi travel2-2 record1 out: Champagnie
CLELast 5: 2-11 day restHome game 3 in a row2-1 recordWon 2 straight
Tale of the tape
114.2
119.3
46.8%
46.6%
29.4%
36.6%
9.2
13.7
82.4%
75.3%
24.5
22.3
9.8
10.7
33.5
36.3
24.5
26.3
14.5
18.7
7.5
9.7
5.5
8.3
23.5
25
113.5
126
48.0%
47.5%
31.1%
41.0%
9.5
17
83.7%
75.4%
18
23
10.5
11
34
36.5
24.5
30.5
13.5
17.5
4.5
9.5
5
9
23
26
Points, recent
Last 3: 109.7 vs 119.3Last 5: 114.2 vs 119.3Last 10: 114.2 vs 119.3
Small sample: 3 games so far.
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Washington Wizards
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Trae Young | 22 | 2 | 11 | 40% |
| SG | Kyshawn George | 17 | 5 | 3 | 46% |
| SF | AJ Dybantsa | – | – | – | – |
| PF | Anthony Davis | 22 | 9 | 2 | 42% |
| C | Alex Sarr | 8 | 5 | 2 | 55% |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | James Harden | 15 | 5 | 7 | 32% |
| SG | Donovan Mitchell | 26 | 6 | 4 | 51% |
| SF | Peyton Watson | 11 | 4 | 2 | 34% |
| PF | Evan Mobley | 18 | 9 | 3 | 54% |
| C | Jarrett Allen | 15 | 8 | 0 | 63% |
Recent games
WSH
- L10/26@ Charlotte Hornets 103-110
- W10/24@ Chicago Bulls 124-120
- L10/23vs Toronto Raptors 102-112
- W10/21vs Milwaukee Bucks 128-116
CLE
- W10/26vs Minnesota Timberwolves 127-125
- W10/24vs Brooklyn Nets 125-121
- L10/22@ Philadelphia 76ers 106-114
Injury report
Latest update Oct 28, 2026
WSH
-
OutJamir WatkinsJul 30
The Wizards announced Thursday that Watkins has undergone surgery for a torn ACL.
-
OutJustin ChampagnieOct 28
Champagnie (foot) is expected to miss several months, per Josh Robbins of The Athletic.
-
OutTristan VukcevicOct 01
The Wizards announced Thursday that Vukcevic (hip) will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
CLE
Nobody listed.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 23.8 | 27.3 | 32 | 31.3 | 55 |
| CLE | 31.3 | 31 | 28.3 | 24 | 50 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| WSH | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | – | 2 of 3 67% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 1 of 4 25% | 2 of 3 67% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 3 of 4 75% | 1 of 3 33% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 2 of 4 50% | 1 of 3 33% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 1 of 4 25% | 2 of 3 67% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 2 of 4 50% | 1 of 3 33% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 3 of 4 75% | 2 of 3 67% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 3 of 4 75% | – |
Head to head
| Meetings | WSH first | CLE first | |
|---|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 8 | 3 (38%) | 5 (62%) |
| First to 10, Q2 | 8 | 3 (38%) | 5 (62%) |
| First to 10, Q3 | 8 | 4 (50%) | 4 (50%) |
| First to 10, Q4 | 8 | 1 (12%) | 7 (88%) |
| First to 15, Q1 | 8 | 3 (38%) | 5 (62%) |
| First to 15, Q2 | 8 | 3 (38%) | 5 (62%) |
| First to 15, Q3 | 8 | 3 (38%) | 5 (62%) |
| First to 15, Q4 | 8 | 1 (12%) | 7 (88%) |
Meetings through Apr 12, 2026.