Live board
NBAMIA 129 @ ATL 117 Final NBAWSH 111 @ CLE 121 Final NBACHA 89 @ DET 97 Final NBAPHI 114 @ IND 109 Final NBAORL 99 @ TOR 129 Final NBANY 133 @ CHI 127 Final NBAHOU 132 @ MIL 100 Final NBAGS 119 @ MIN 114 Final NBADEN 104 @ NO 91 Final NBASA 117 @ UTAH 111 Final/OT NBAOKC 96 @ DAL 120 Final NBALAL 103 @ LAC 87 Final TrendingQuarter leaders TrendingRace to 10 TrendingPlayer metrics
Beta

The model is still learning. These picks and projections are a live test, tracked in the open below. They aren't betting advice, so please don't bet on them.

NBA · Wednesday, October 28

Betting Center

The model's picks against the line, every result graded in public.

Spread picks
27-24 52.9%
Line moved our way
70% of 23
Player props
204-157 +22.5u
Updated
15 hr agoOct 28, 7:38 AM MT
Game picks

Tonight's board

Sort Tip time Biggest edge
48 picks across 12 of 12 games 0 strong 22 lean Picks are made at the FanDuel line from the morning run.
Final Picks 1-3
Miami Heat
129 116.6
@ Atlanta Hawks
117 121.3
Model: ATL by 4.7 Total 237.8
  • MIA team total Under 119.5 Model 116.6 pts
    L2.9pt
  • Game total Under 240.5 Model 237.8 pts
    L2.7pt
  • Thin edges LATL -2.5 2.2 WATL Under 122.5 1.2
Box score
Final Picks 3-1
Washington Wizards
111 113.6
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
121 120.2
Model: CLE by 6.5 Total 233.8
  • Game total Under 239.5 Model 233.8 pts
    W5.7pt
  • CLE team total Under 124.5 Model 120.2 pts
    W4.3pt
  • Spread WSH +9.5 Model CLE by 6.5
    L3pt
  • Thin edges WWSH Under 114.5 0.9
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
Charlotte Hornets
89 105
@ Detroit Pistons
97 109.6
Model: DET by 4.7 Total 214.6
  • Spread CHA +7.5 Model DET by 4.7
    L2.8pt
  • Thin edges WDET Under 111.5 1.9 LCHA Over 103.5 1.5 LOver 214.5 0.1
Box score
Final Picks 4-0
Philadelphia 76ers
114 117.7
@ Indiana Pacers
109 115.4
Model: PHI by 2.3 Total 233.1
  • Game total Under 237.5 Model 233.1 pts
    W4.4pt
  • PHI team total Under 121.5 Model 117.7 pts
    W3.8pt
  • Spread IND +5.5 Model PHI by 2.3
    W3.2pt
  • Thin edges WIND Under 116.5 1.1
Box score
Final Picks 2-2
Orlando Magic
99 107.3
@ Toronto Raptors
129 113.2
Model: TOR by 5.9 Total 220.5
  • Game total Under 223.5 Model 220.5 pts
    L3pt
  • Thin edges WORL Under 109.5 2.2 LTOR Under 114.5 1.3 WTOR -5.5 0.4
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
New York Knicks
133 121
@ Chicago Bulls
127 110.5
Model: NY by 10.5 Total 231.5
  • CHI team total Under 113.5 Model 110.5 pts
    L3pt
  • Spread NY -7.5 Model NY by 10.5
    L3pt Now NY -3.5
  • Thin edges LUnder 232.5 1 WNY Over 120.5 0.5
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookNYCHITotalML
FanDuel -3.5 -300 +3.5 +210 259.5 – / –
DraftKings -3.5 -340 +3.5 +235 259.5 – / –
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
Houston Rockets
132 116.7
@ Milwaukee Bucks
100 108.3
Model: HOU by 8.4 Total 225
  • Thin edges LUnder 226.5 1.5 WMIL Under 109.5 1.2 LHOU Under 117.5 0.8 LMIL +8.5 0.1
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookHOUMILTotalML
FanDuel -29.5 +410 +29.5 -700 223.5 – / –
DraftKings -28.5 -170 +28.5 +130 – – / –
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
Golden State Warriors
119 109.1
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
114 116.3
Model: MIN by 7.1 Total 225.4
  • GS team total Under 113.5 Model 109.1 pts
    L4.4pt
  • Spread MIN -3.5 Model MIN by 7.1
    L3.6pt Now MIN +10.5
  • Game total Under 228.5 Model 225.4 pts
    L3.1pt Now Under 230.5
  • Thin edges WMIN Under 116.5 0.2
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookGSMINTotalML
FanDuel -9.5 -146 +9.5 +110 230.5 – / –
DraftKings -10.5 +110 +10.5 -145 230.5 – / –
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
Denver Nuggets
104 121.2
@ New Orleans Pelicans
91 119.7
Model: DEN by 1.5 Total 240.8
  • Spread NO +4.5 Model DEN by 1.5
    L3pt Now NO +13.5
  • Thin edges WDEN Under 122.5 1.3 LNO Over 118.5 1.2 LOver 240.5 0.3
Lines now · FanDuel
BookDENNOTotalML
FanDuel -13.5 +290 +13.5 -440 195.5 – / –
Box score
Final Picks 3-1
San Antonio Spurs
117 120.1
@ Utah Jazz
111 113.7
Model: SA by 6.3 Total 233.8
  • Spread UTAH +11.5 Model SA by 6.3
    W5.2pt Now UTAH +7.5
  • SA team total Under 123.5 Model 120.1 pts
    W3.4pt
  • Thin edges LUTAH Over 111.5 2.2 WUnder 234.5 0.7
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookSAUTAHTotalML
FanDuel -4.5 -125 +4.5 -106 227.5 -230 / +176
DraftKings -7.5 -110 +7.5 -120 224.5 -390 / +285
Box score
Final Picks 1-3
Oklahoma City Thunder
96 117.9
@ Dallas Mavericks
120 109.7
Model: OKC by 8.1 Total 227.6
  • DAL team total Under 112.5 Model 109.7 pts
    L2.8pt
  • Thin edges WUnder 229.5 1.9 LOKC -6.5 1.6 LOKC Over 117.5 0.4
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookOKCDALTotalML
FanDuel +5.5 -132 -5.5 +100 232.5 +154 / -200
DraftKings +4.5 -110 -4.5 -120 230.5 +150 / -195
Box score
Final lean edge
LA Lakers Lakers
103 111.6
@ LA Clippers Clippers
87 112.8
Model: LAC by 1.2 Total 224.4
  • Spread LAC +4.5 Model LAC by 1.2
    5.7pt Now LAC -1.5
  • LAL team total Under 116.5 Model 111.6 pts
    4.9pt Now Under 112.5
  • Game total Under 228.5 Model 224.4 pts
    4.1pt Now Under 224.5
  • Thin edges LAC Over 112.5 0.3
Lines now · FanDuel vs DraftKings
BookLALLACTotalML
FanDuel +1.5 -114 -1.5 -106 224.5 -106 / -110
DraftKings +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105 224.5 -108 / -112
Full preview
Projections vs the posted line

Tonight's player props

Lines captured 2 hr ago
All PTSREBAST
Player FanDuel DraftKings Pick Spot
Austin Reaves LAL @ LAC · Points · 36.3 min
22.5avg 22.3 28.5• +100 29.5• -121 -7 Under 29.5best at DraftKings
Yaxel Lendeborg GS @ MIN · Points · 33.6 min
22.6avg 22.3 16.5• -130 16.5 -120 +6.1 Over 16.5best at DraftKings Day-To-Day
Quentin Grimes LAL @ LAC · Points · 22.8 min
7.7avg 8.8 12.5 +104 13.5 -124 -5.8 Under 13.5best at DraftKings Bench
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC @ DAL · Points · 34 min
27.1avg 27.8 32.5• -106 31.5• -117 -5.4 Under 32.5best at FanDuel
Jared McCain OKC @ DAL · Points · 22.8 min
11.8avg 10.8 16.5• -115 16.5• -111 -4.7 Under 16.5best at DraftKings
Ajay Mitchell OKC @ DAL · Points · 25.9 min
13.8avg 14.2 18.5 -136 17.5• -104 -4.7 Under 18.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Saddiq Bey NO vs DEN · Points · 26.4 min
16.1avg 18.9 11.5 -118 11.5 -110 +4.6 Over 11.5best at DraftKings Minutes down 4.5Bench
Clint Capela HOU @ MIL · Points · 9.3 min
2.9avg 3.2 5.5• -113 7.5 -119 -4.6 Under 7.5best at DraftKings 3 games backBench
Collin Sexton LAL @ LAC · Points · 17 min
11avg 15.9 14.5 -115 15.5 -126 -4.5 Under 15.5best at DraftKings Minutes down 7.1Bench
Jake LaRavia LAL @ LAC · Points · 17.2 min
4.2avg 5 8.5 -120 8.5 -123 -4.3 Under 8.5best at FanDuel 3 games backBench
Ayo Dosunmu MIN vs GS · Points · 25.3 min
12.3avg 14.5 16.5 -125 16.5 -113 -4.2 Under 16.5best at DraftKings Bench
Clint Capela HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 9.3 min
3.4avg 3.8 6.5• -132 7.5 -121 -4.1 Under 7.5best at DraftKings 3 games backBench
Jeremiah Fears NO vs DEN · Points · 27 min
15.6avg 16.5 11.5 -102 11.5 -110 +4.1 Over 11.5best at FanDuel
Darryn Peterson UTAH vs SA · Points · 29.4 min
11.8avg 11.6 14.5• -113 15.5• -120 -3.7 Under 15.5best at DraftKings
Ryan Rollins MIL vs HOU · Points · 30.4 min
17.1avg 17.6 13.5 -130 14.5• -101 +3.6 Over 13.5best at FanDuel
Kenrich Williams OKC @ DAL · Points · 12.2 min
5avg 4.4 7.5 -102 8.5 -126 -3.5 Under 8.5best at DraftKings
Darius Garland LAC vs LAL · Points · 33.6 min
22.1avg 20.3 24.5 -106 25.5 -124 -3.4 Under 25.5best at DraftKings
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL @ LAC · Points · 20.3 min
9.2avg 9.3 11.5 -111 12.5 -124 -3.3 Under 12.5best at DraftKings Bench
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL vs HOU · Points · 29 min
16.6avg 16.3 13.5• -128 14.5 -108 +3.1 Over 13.5best at FanDuel
Karl-Anthony Towns NY @ CHI · Points · 30.6 min
18.5avg 18.3 21.5• -118 20.5• -103 -3 Under 21.5best at FanDuel
Zaccharie Risacher DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 24 min
7.4avg 4.5 – 4.5 -110 +2.9 Over 4.5 Bench
Ziaire Williams LAL @ LAC · Points · 26.6 min
12.4avg 11.5 9.5 -112 9.5 -114 +2.9 Over 9.5best at FanDuel
Kenrich Williams OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 12.2 min
2.6avg 2.8 5.5 -160 5.5 -145 -2.9 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
LaMelo Ball MIN vs GS · Points · 26.9 min
19.6avg 20.6 22.5 -122 21.5• -106 -2.9 Under 22.5best at FanDuel
Caleb Wilson CHI vs NY · Points · 32.8 min
20.2avg 21.1 17.5• -111 17.5• -109 +2.7 Over 17.5best at DraftKings
Jaxson Hayes UTAH vs SA · Points · 20.1 min
7.9avg 8.3 9.5 -120 10.5 -120 -2.6 Under 10.5best at DraftKings 1st game backBenchDay-To-Day
Jaylin Williams OKC @ DAL · Points · 17.1 min
4.9avg 5.4 7.5 -104 7.5 -103 -2.6 Under 7.5best at DraftKings Bench
Tre Jones CHI vs NY · Points · 17.7 min
11avg 15.4 8.5 -104 8.5 -111 +2.5 Over 8.5best at FanDuel Minutes down 6.9Bench
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN vs GS · Points · 21.8 min
11.1avg 10.5 13.5 -104 13.5 -103 -2.4 Under 13.5best at DraftKings Bench
Rudy Gobert MIN vs GS · Points · 30.8 min
8.2avg 8.4 10.5 -115 10.5 -122 -2.3 Under 10.5best at FanDuel
Nikola Jokic DEN @ NO · Points · 36.3 min
25.2avg 25.3 26.5 +102 27.5• -118 -2.3 Under 27.5best at DraftKings
Brandin Podziemski GS @ MIN · Points · 31.7 min
17.7avg 17.6 15.5• -115 15.5• -114 +2.2 Over 15.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Lauri Markkanen UTAH vs SA · Points · 30.7 min
21.7avg 22.6 19.5 -104 19.5 -107 +2.2 Over 19.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Jaylin Williams OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 17.1 min
4.4avg 4.9 – 6.5 -144 -2.1 Under 6.5 Bench
Kyle Kuzma MIL vs HOU · Points · 28.2 min
13.5avg 12.8 11.5• -108 12.5 -103 +2 Over 11.5best at FanDuel
Jaden McDaniels MIN vs GS · Points · 32.1 min
15.5avg 15.5 16.5• +100 17.5 -124 -2 Under 17.5best at DraftKings
Kobe Sanders LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 17.6 min
1.5avg 1.9 2.5• +140 3.5• -170 -2 Under 3.5best at DraftKings Bench
Yaxel Lendeborg GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 33.6 min
9.4avg 9.4 7.5 +122 7.5 -101 +1.9 Over 7.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Kobe Sanders LAC vs LAL · Points · 17.6 min
8.6avg 7.6 10.5• -106 10.5• +100 -1.9 Under 10.5best at DraftKings Bench
Jalen Brunson NY @ CHI · Points · 34.3 min
24.6avg 25.9 26.5 -125 26.5• -123 -1.9 Under 26.5best at DraftKings
Luka Doncic LAL @ LAC · Points · 35.5 min
34.4avg 35 32.5 -118 32.5 -117 +1.9 Over 32.5best at DraftKings
Tari Eason HOU @ MIL · Points · 26.8 min
11.7avg 11.4 13.5• -128 13.5• -116 -1.8 Under 13.5best at DraftKings Bench
Walker Kessler LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 31.1 min
11.3avg 11 10.5• +104 9.5 -135 +1.8 Over 9.5best at DraftKings
Kris Dunn LAC vs LAL · Points · 28.8 min
6.7avg 6.6 8.5• -102 8.5• +102 -1.8 Under 8.5best at DraftKings
Austin Reaves LAL @ LAC · Assists · 36.3 min
5.7avg 5.7 7.5• -111 7.5• -110 -1.8 Under 7.5best at DraftKings
Al Horford GS @ MIN · Points · 18.1 min
7.2avg 8.7 5.5 +106 5.5 +105 +1.7 Over 5.5best at FanDuel 2 games backMinutes down 4.2Bench
Isaiah Jackson LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 19.7 min
5.8avg 5.1 7.5 -142 6.5• +109 -1.7 Under 7.5best at FanDuel
Kevin Durant HOU @ MIL · Points · 35.3 min
24.8avg 25.4 25.5• +102 26.5• -122 -1.7 Under 26.5best at DraftKings
Aaron Gordon DEN @ NO · Points · 29.4 min
13.8avg 13.5 15.5 -128 15.5• -124 -1.7 Under 15.5best at DraftKings
Trey Murphy III NO vs DEN · Points · 34.4 min
19.2avg 19.5 17.5• -120 17.5• -105 +1.7 Over 17.5best at DraftKings
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC @ DAL · Points · 23.5 min
8.8avg 8.7 10.5• -120 10.5• -139 -1.7 Under 10.5best at FanDuel
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC vs LAL · Points · 28.3 min
9.8avg 9.6 11.5 +100 11.5 +102 -1.7 Under 11.5best at DraftKings
Ace Bailey UTAH vs SA · Points · 29.3 min
16.1avg 16.4 14.5• -104 14.5• -124 +1.6 Over 14.5best at FanDuel
Quentin Grimes LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 22.8 min
2.9avg 3.2 3.5 +112 4.5 -158 -1.6 Under 4.5best at DraftKings Bench
Matas Buzelis CHI vs NY · Points · 26.6 min
15.1avg 17 13.5 -120 13.5 -123 +1.6 Over 13.5best at FanDuel
Jonathan Kuminga MIN vs GS · Points · 27.8 min
13.9avg 12.3 14.5 +100 15.5• -121 -1.6 Under 15.5best at DraftKings
Dejounte Murray NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 31.4 min
6.1avg 5.7 4.5• -154 4.5• -150 +1.6 Over 4.5best at DraftKings
Daniel Gafford DAL vs OKC · Points · 21.9 min
10.1avg 10.3 8.5• -113 8.5• -123 +1.6 Over 8.5best at FanDuel
Zaccharie Risacher DAL vs OKC · Points · 24 min
8.9avg 7.4 10.5 +104 10.5 -115 -1.6 Under 10.5best at FanDuel Bench
Fred VanVleet HOU @ MIL · Assists · 33.4 min
5avg 5.2 6.5 -154 6.5 -130 -1.5 Under 6.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Bennedict Mathurin NO vs DEN · Points · 18.7 min
10avg 14.6 8.5 -115 – +1.5 Over 8.5 Minutes down 6.8Bench
Julian Champagnie SA @ UTAH · Points · 26.1 min
11avg 12.1 9.5 -122 10.5 -102 +1.5 Over 9.5best at FanDuel Bench
P.J. Washington DAL vs OKC · Points · 33.9 min
15avg 14.3 13.5• -125 13.5• -125 +1.5 Over 13.5best at FanDuel
Derik Queen NO vs DEN · Points · 25.7 min
11.9avg 12.3 10.5• -111 10.5 -118 +1.4 Over 10.5best at FanDuel Bench
Jared McCain OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 22.8 min
2.1avg 1.9 3.5 -162 3.5 -156 -1.4 Under 3.5best at DraftKings
Zion Williamson NO vs DEN · Points · 30.6 min
19.9avg 19.8 18.5 -113 18.5 -114 +1.4 Over 18.5best at FanDuel
Gui Santos GS @ MIN · Points · 26.4 min
11.8avg 12.9 10.5 -120 10.5 +102 +1.3 Over 10.5best at DraftKings
Kel'el Ware MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 19.8 min
7.8avg 8.8 7.5 +116 6.5• -140 +1.3 Over 6.5best at DraftKings Bench
Yaxel Lendeborg GS @ MIN · Assists · 33.6 min
4.8avg 4.8 3.5 -111 3.5 -132 +1.3 Over 3.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Dejounte Murray NO vs DEN · Assists · 31.4 min
6.8avg 6.7 5.5• -146 5.5• -154 +1.3 Over 5.5best at FanDuel
Derik Queen NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 25.7 min
7.8avg 7.7 6.5• -142 7.5 +106 +1.3 Over 6.5best at FanDuel Bench
Devin Vassell SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 31.8 min
4.8avg 4.9 4.5 +126 3.5• -159 +1.3 Over 3.5best at DraftKings
Jaxson Hayes UTAH vs SA · Rebounds · 20.1 min
4.2avg 4.1 5.5 -122 5.5 -131 -1.3 Under 5.5best at FanDuel 1st game backBenchDay-To-Day
Matas Buzelis CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 26.6 min
5.7avg 6.2 5.5 +132 4.5 -148 +1.2 Over 4.5best at DraftKings
Josh Hart NY @ CHI · Points · 30.8 min
10.3avg 10.6 11.5 -113 11.5 -105 -1.2 Under 11.5best at DraftKings
Josh Giddey CHI vs NY · Points · 28.6 min
11.7avg 12.9 10.5 -120 10.5 -121 +1.2 Over 10.5best at FanDuel
DeMar DeRozan DEN @ NO · Points · 25.9 min
15.7avg 17.6 14.5 -120 14.5 -113 +1.2 Over 14.5best at DraftKings Bench
Keaton Wagler LAC vs LAL · Points · 25 min
12.3avg 12.9 13.5 -120 13.5 -116 -1.2 Under 13.5best at DraftKings Bench
Stephen Curry GS @ MIN · Points · 27.5 min
22.4avg 24.1 23.5• +100 23.5• -111 -1.1 Under 23.5best at FanDuel 2 games back
Jamal Murray DEN @ NO · Points · 36.7 min
23.4avg 24.2 24.5• -122 24.5• -122 -1.1 Under 24.5best at FanDuel
Kyrie Irving DAL vs OKC · Points · 30.9 min
21.6avg 23.9 20.5 -113 20.5 -110 +1.1 Over 20.5best at DraftKings 2 games backDay-To-Day
Trey Murphy III NO vs DEN · Assists · 34.4 min
3.6avg 3.6 2.5 -138 2.5 -147 +1.1 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Jeremiah Fears NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 27 min
3.6avg 3.7 2.5 -158 3.5 +123 +1.1 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Dylan Harper SA @ UTAH · Assists · 28.9 min
3.4avg 3.2 4.5 -142 4.5 -143 -1.1 Under 4.5best at FanDuel
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 34 min
3.4avg 3.5 4.5 -148 4.5 -158 -1.1 Under 4.5best at FanDuel
Amen Thompson HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 35.7 min
7.4avg 7.9 8.5 -132 8.5 -113 -1.1 Under 8.5best at DraftKings
Reed Sheppard HOU @ MIL · Points · 24.8 min
11.4avg 13.2 12.5 -108 12.5 -120 -1.1 Under 12.5best at FanDuel 3 games backBench
Keyonte George UTAH vs SA · Assists · 30.2 min
5.4avg 5.7 6.5• -148 6.5 -145 -1.1 Under 6.5best at DraftKings
Dylan Harper SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 28.9 min
5.6avg 5.2 4.5 -142 4.5 -138 +1.1 Over 4.5best at DraftKings
Brook Lopez LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 23.5 min
4.6avg 5.3 – 3.5 -157 +1.1 Over 3.5 Bench
Isaiah Jackson LAC vs LAL · Points · 19.7 min
8.4avg 7.5 9.5• -120 9.5• -106 -1.1 Under 9.5best at DraftKings
Walker Kessler LAL @ LAC · Points · 31.1 min
12.4avg 12.4 13.5• +104 13.5• -101 -1.1 Under 13.5best at FanDuel
Norman Powell CHI vs NY · Points · 27.3 min
18.5avg 18.7 19.5 -128 18.5 -107 -1 Under 19.5best at FanDuel
Leonard Miller CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 20.8 min
5.5avg 5.8 – 4.5 -140 +1 Over 4.5 Bench
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU @ MIL · Points · 35.7 min
16.5avg 16.9 15.5 -122 16.5• -120 +1 Over 15.5best at FanDuel
Ayo Dosunmu MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 25.3 min
3.5avg 4.1 4.5 -138 4.5 -136 -1 Under 4.5best at DraftKings Bench
Ayo Dosunmu MIN vs GS · Assists · 25.3 min
3.5avg 4 4.5 -108 4.5 -115 -1 Under 4.5best at FanDuel Bench
Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 21.8 min
2.5avg 2.2 3.5 -160 3.5 -162 -1 Under 3.5best at FanDuel Bench
DeMar DeRozan DEN @ NO · Assists · 25.9 min
3.5avg 4 2.5 -138 2.5 -132 +1 Over 2.5best at DraftKings Bench
Jeremiah Fears NO vs DEN · Assists · 27 min
3.5avg 3.6 2.5 -122 2.5 -134 +1 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Darryn Peterson UTAH vs SA · Rebounds · 29.4 min
4.5avg 4.3 3.5 -164 3.5 -145 +1 Over 3.5best at DraftKings
P.J. Washington DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 33.9 min
7.5avg 7.1 6.5 -138 6.5 -148 +1 Over 6.5best at FanDuel
Matisse Thybulle LAL @ LAC · Points · 20.7 min
6.5avg 5.8 7.5 -115 7.5 -122 -1 Under 7.5best at FanDuel
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL vs HOU · Assists · 29 min
4.4avg 4.4 3.5• +106 3.5 +112 +0.9 Over 3.5best at DraftKings
Draymond Green GS @ MIN · Points · 27.8 min
6.6avg 6.9 7.5 -128 7.5 -120 -0.9 Under 7.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Trey Murphy III NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 34.4 min
5.4avg 5.5 4.5 -128 4.5 -147 +0.9 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Christian Braun DEN @ NO · Points · 33.9 min
11.6avg 11.2 12.5 -108 12.5 -116 -0.9 Under 12.5best at FanDuel
Keldon Johnson SA @ UTAH · Points · 20.4 min
9.6avg 9.5 10.5 -122 10.5 -115 -0.9 Under 10.5best at DraftKings Bench
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 23.5 min
8.6avg 8.5 9.5 +112 9.5 +105 -0.9 Under 9.5best at FanDuel
Kyle Kuzma MIL vs HOU · Assists · 28.2 min
3.4avg 3.2 2.5 -132 2.5 -161 +0.9 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Darryn Peterson UTAH vs SA · Assists · 29.4 min
2.6avg 2.5 3.5• -162 3.5• -171 -0.9 Under 3.5best at FanDuel
Kyrie Irving DAL vs OKC · Assists · 30.9 min
3.6avg 4.1 4.5• -172 3.5 +108 -0.9 Under 4.5best at FanDuel 2 games backDay-To-Day
Dejounte Murray NO vs DEN · Points · 31.4 min
18.4avg 17.9 17.5 +100 17.5 -105 +0.9 Over 17.5best at FanDuel
Mikal Bridges NY @ CHI · Points · 31.5 min
11.7avg 12.4 12.5• -118 12.5• -114 -0.8 Under 12.5best at DraftKings
Leonard Miller CHI vs NY · Points · 20.8 min
10.3avg 11.5 9.5 -104 9.5 -110 +0.8 Over 9.5best at FanDuel Bench
Brook Lopez LAC vs LAL · Points · 23.5 min
11.3avg 12.6 10.5 -113 10.5 -122 +0.8 Over 10.5best at FanDuel Bench
Jaylin Williams OKC @ DAL · Assists · 17.1 min
1.7avg 1.8 2.5 -106 2.5 +110 -0.8 Under 2.5best at DraftKings Bench
Karl-Anthony Towns NY @ CHI · Assists · 30.6 min
4.3avg 4.1 3.5 -132 3.5 -131 +0.8 Over 3.5best at DraftKings
Jalen Brunson NY @ CHI · Assists · 34.3 min
5.7avg 6 6.5 -125 6.5 -121 -0.8 Under 6.5best at DraftKings
Tyler Herro MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 32.1 min
5.3avg 5.1 4.5 -115 4.5 -116 +0.8 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Amen Thompson HOU @ MIL · Assists · 35.7 min
4.7avg 5.1 5.5 -162 5.5 -150 -0.8 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL vs HOU · Assists · 21.5 min
3.3avg 3.2 2.5 -180 3.5 +107 +0.8 Over 2.5best at FanDuel Bench
Stephen Curry GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 27.5 min
2.7avg 3 3.5 -178 3.5 -161 -0.8 Under 3.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Draymond Green GS @ MIN · Assists · 27.8 min
6.3avg 6.5 5.5 -108 5.5 -110 +0.8 Over 5.5best at FanDuel 2 games back
De'Anthony Melton GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 21.2 min
3.3avg 3.7 – 2.5 -147 +0.8 Over 2.5 Bench
LaMelo Ball MIN vs GS · Assists · 26.9 min
6.7avg 6.8 7.5 -132 7.5 -131 -0.8 Under 7.5best at DraftKings
Devin Vassell SA @ UTAH · Assists · 31.8 min
3.3avg 3.2 2.5• -162 2.5• -143 +0.8 Over 2.5best at DraftKings
Jake LaRavia LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 17.2 min
2.7avg 3.1 3.5 +126 3.5 +113 -0.8 Under 3.5best at FanDuel 3 games backBench
Jalen Brunson NY @ CHI · Rebounds · 34.3 min
2.8avg 3 3.5 -136 3.5 -150 -0.7 Under 3.5best at FanDuel
OG Anunoby NY @ CHI · Assists · 32.4 min
2.2avg 2.2 1.5 -192 1.5 -169 +0.7 Over 1.5best at DraftKings
Draymond Green GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 27.8 min
4.8avg 4.9 5.5 -142 5.5 -127 -0.7 Under 5.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
LaMelo Ball MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 26.9 min
3.8avg 4 4.5 +110 4.5 +116 -0.7 Under 4.5best at DraftKings
Joan Beringer MIN vs GS · Points · 13.3 min
7.2avg 5.4 6.5 -115 6.5 +106 +0.7 Over 6.5best at DraftKings Bench
Kyrie Irving DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 30.9 min
4.2avg 4.7 3.5 -148 3.5 -142 +0.7 Over 3.5best at DraftKings 2 games backDay-To-Day
Ajay Mitchell OKC @ DAL · Assists · 25.9 min
3.8avg 3.9 4.5• -128 4.5• -152 -0.7 Under 4.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Kris Dunn LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 28.8 min
3.8avg 3.6 4.5 -154 4.5 -151 -0.7 Under 4.5best at DraftKings
Caleb Wilson CHI vs NY · Assists · 32.8 min
1.8avg 1.8 – 2.5 -192 -0.7 Under 2.5
Collin Sexton LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 17 min
1.8avg 2.7 2.5 -205 2.5 -182 -0.7 Under 2.5best at DraftKings Minutes down 7.1Bench
Josh Hart NY @ CHI · Rebounds · 30.8 min
8.2avg 8.2 7.5 -128 7.5 -120 +0.7 Over 7.5best at DraftKings
OG Anunoby NY @ CHI · Points · 32.4 min
16.8avg 17.4 17.5 -115 17.5 -121 -0.7 Under 17.5best at FanDuel
Josh Giddey CHI vs NY · Assists · 28.6 min
8.2avg 9.1 7.5 -122 7.5 -132 +0.7 Over 7.5best at FanDuel
Myles Turner MIL vs HOU · Points · 26.6 min
10.2avg 9.9 9.5• -132 10.5 -104 +0.7 Over 9.5best at FanDuel
De'Anthony Melton GS @ MIN · Points · 21.2 min
9.8avg 11.4 10.5 -122 10.5 -112 -0.7 Under 10.5best at DraftKings Bench
Stephon Castle SA @ UTAH · Points · 30 min
16.8avg 17.4 17.5 -106 17.5 -117 -0.7 Under 17.5best at FanDuel
Keyonte George UTAH vs SA · Points · 30.2 min
21.9avg 22.7 22.5• -125 22.5• -115 -0.6 Under 22.5best at DraftKings
Stephen Curry GS @ MIN · Assists · 27.5 min
3.9avg 4.2 4.5 -146 4.5 -144 -0.6 Under 4.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Fred VanVleet HOU @ MIL · Points · 33.4 min
13.1avg 14 12.5 -108 12.5 -106 +0.6 Over 12.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Tyler Herro MIL vs HOU · Assists · 32.1 min
5.1avg 5 4.5 -115 4.5 -115 +0.6 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Ryan Rollins MIL vs HOU · Assists · 30.4 min
5.1avg 5.3 4.5 +110 4.5 +100 +0.6 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Rudy Gobert MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 30.8 min
10.9avg 11.2 11.5 -102 11.5 -106 -0.6 Under 11.5best at FanDuel
Jaden McDaniels MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 32.1 min
5.1avg 5.2 4.5 -125 4.5 -153 +0.6 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Zion Williamson NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 30.6 min
4.9avg 4.9 5.5 -156 5.5• -136 -0.6 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
Saddiq Bey NO vs DEN · Rebounds · 26.4 min
4.1avg 4.8 3.5 -122 3.5 -137 +0.6 Over 3.5best at FanDuel Minutes down 4.5Bench
Devin Vassell SA @ UTAH · Points · 31.8 min
12.1avg 12.2 11.5 -125 12.5• -111 +0.6 Over 11.5best at FanDuel
Stephon Castle SA @ UTAH · Assists · 30 min
5.9avg 6.2 6.5 -140 6.5 -116 -0.6 Under 6.5best at DraftKings
Daniel Gafford DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 21.9 min
6.9avg 7.1 7.5 -130 7.5 -132 -0.6 Under 7.5best at FanDuel
Keaton Wagler LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 25 min
4.1avg 4.3 – 3.5 -158 +0.6 Over 3.5 Bench
Norman Powell CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 27.3 min
3avg 3 3.5 -184 2.5 +122 -0.5 Under 3.5best at FanDuel
Norman Powell CHI vs NY · Assists · 27.3 min
2avg 2 1.5 -174 1.5 -179 +0.5 Over 1.5best at FanDuel
Buddy Hield CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 13.3 min
2avg 1.8 2.5 -210 – -0.5 Under 2.5 Bench
Karl-Anthony Towns NY @ CHI · Rebounds · 30.6 min
12avg 11.9 12.5 +100 12.5 -112 -0.5 Under 12.5best at FanDuel
Mikal Bridges NY @ CHI · Assists · 31.5 min
3avg 3 2.5 -130 2.5 -150 +0.5 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Matas Buzelis CHI vs NY · Assists · 26.6 min
2avg 2.1 – 1.5 -154 +0.5 Over 1.5
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 35.7 min
7avg 7.3 7.5 -102 7.5 -122 -0.5 Under 7.5best at FanDuel
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU @ MIL · Assists · 35.7 min
2avg 2 1.5 -164 1.5 -151 +0.5 Over 1.5best at DraftKings
Saddiq Bey NO vs DEN · Assists · 26.4 min
2avg 2.3 – 1.5 +110 +0.5 Over 1.5 Minutes down 4.5Bench
Lauri Markkanen UTAH vs SA · Rebounds · 30.7 min
6avg 6.4 5.5 -132 5.5 -134 +0.5 Over 5.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Keldon Johnson SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 20.4 min
4avg 3.9 4.5 -132 3.5 +120 -0.5 Under 4.5best at FanDuel Bench
Jaxson Hayes UTAH vs SA · Assists · 20.1 min
1avg 1 – 1.5 -119 -0.5 Under 1.5 1st game backBenchDay-To-Day
Victor Wembanyama SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 32.2 min
11avg 11 11.5 -122 10.5• +104 -0.5 Under 11.5best at FanDuel
Isaiah Hartenstein OKC @ DAL · Assists · 23.5 min
3avg 2.7 3.5 -122 3.5 -114 -0.5 Under 3.5best at DraftKings
Max Christie DAL vs OKC · Points · 28.3 min
11avg 10.8 10.5 -122 10.5 -118 +0.5 Over 10.5best at DraftKings
Cooper Flagg DAL vs OKC · Points · 31.9 min
24avg 23.8 23.5 -111 24.5 -104 +0.5 Over 23.5best at FanDuel 2 games back
Cooper Flagg DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 31.9 min
7avg 6.6 6.5• -136 6.5• -133 +0.5 Over 6.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Austin Reaves LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 36.3 min
4avg 3.9 4.5• -128 4.5• -139 -0.5 Under 4.5best at FanDuel
Quentin Grimes LAL @ LAC · Assists · 22.8 min
2avg 2.3 2.5 +134 2.5 +129 -0.5 Under 2.5best at FanDuel Bench
Caleb Wilson CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 32.8 min
6.9avg 7.3 6.5 +100 6.5 -104 +0.4 Over 6.5best at FanDuel
Kevin Durant HOU @ MIL · Assists · 35.3 min
4.9avg 5 4.5 +122 4.5 +117 +0.4 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Nikola Jokic DEN @ NO · Assists · 36.3 min
9.9avg 10.1 9.5 -118 9.5 -131 +0.4 Over 9.5best at FanDuel
De'Aaron Fox SA @ UTAH · Points · 31 min
15.1avg 15.3 15.5 -102 15.5 -107 -0.4 Under 15.5best at FanDuel
Luka Doncic LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 35.5 min
7.1avg 7.2 7.5 -130 7.5 -120 -0.4 Under 7.5best at DraftKings
Sandro Mamukelashvili LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 20.3 min
4.9avg 4.7 4.5 -150 4.5 -136 +0.4 Over 4.5best at DraftKings Bench
Mikal Bridges NY @ CHI · Rebounds · 31.5 min
3.1avg 3.2 3.5 -128 3.5 -125 -0.4 Under 3.5best at DraftKings
Tre Jones CHI vs NY · Assists · 17.7 min
3.1avg 4.5 3.5 -108 3.5 -108 -0.4 Under 3.5best at FanDuel Minutes down 6.9Bench
Jalen Smith CHI vs NY · Assists · 21.7 min
1.1avg 1.1 1.5 -178 1.5 -162 -0.4 Under 1.5best at DraftKings
Fred VanVleet HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 33.4 min
3.1avg 3.4 3.5 -186 3.5• -176 -0.4 Under 3.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Gui Santos GS @ MIN · Assists · 26.4 min
2.9avg 3.1 2.5 -112 2.5 -101 +0.4 Over 2.5best at DraftKings
Aaron Gordon DEN @ NO · Assists · 29.4 min
2.9avg 2.8 2.5 -115 2.5 -120 +0.4 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Derik Queen NO vs DEN · Assists · 25.7 min
2.9avg 2.8 2.5• -140 2.5• -171 +0.4 Over 2.5best at FanDuel Bench
Lauri Markkanen UTAH vs SA · Assists · 30.7 min
1.9avg 1.9 1.5 -125 1.5 -145 +0.4 Over 1.5best at FanDuel Day-To-Day
Keyonte George UTAH vs SA · Rebounds · 30.2 min
3.1avg 3.2 3.5 +112 3.5 +110 -0.4 Under 3.5best at FanDuel
Max Christie DAL vs OKC · Rebounds · 28.3 min
3.1avg 3.1 3.5 -138 3.5 -142 -0.4 Under 3.5best at FanDuel
Collin Sexton LAL @ LAC · Assists · 17 min
2.1avg 2.7 2.5 +140 – -0.4 Under 2.5 Minutes down 7.1Bench
Walker Kessler LAL @ LAC · Assists · 31.1 min
1.9avg 1.9 – 1.5 -128 +0.4 Over 1.5
Josh Hart NY @ CHI · Assists · 30.8 min
4.2avg 4.1 4.5 -118 4.5 -113 -0.3 Under 4.5best at DraftKings
OG Anunoby NY @ CHI · Rebounds · 32.4 min
5.8avg 5.9 5.5 -104 5.5 +102 +0.3 Over 5.5best at DraftKings
Kevin Durant HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 35.3 min
5.8avg 5.9 5.5 -115 5.5 -127 +0.3 Over 5.5best at FanDuel
Jaime Jaquez Jr. MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 29 min
5.2avg 5.3 5.5 -136 5.5 -133 -0.3 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
Tari Eason HOU @ MIL · Rebounds · 26.8 min
6.2avg 5.9 6.5 +110 6.5 -107 -0.3 Under 6.5best at FanDuel Bench
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 21.5 min
2.8avg 2.7 – 2.5 -171 +0.3 Over 2.5 Bench
Jonathan Kuminga MIN vs GS · Assists · 27.8 min
2.2avg 1.9 2.5 -113 2.5 -118 -0.3 Under 2.5best at FanDuel
Gui Santos GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 26.4 min
4.8avg 4.9 4.5 -130 4.5 -131 +0.3 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Jamal Murray DEN @ NO · Rebounds · 36.7 min
4.8avg 4.9 4.5 +124 4.5 +110 +0.3 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Jamal Murray DEN @ NO · Assists · 36.7 min
6.2avg 6.3 6.5 -120 6.5 -133 -0.3 Under 6.5best at FanDuel
Zion Williamson NO vs DEN · Assists · 30.6 min
2.8avg 2.8 2.5 -115 2.5 -136 +0.3 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
De'Aaron Fox SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 31 min
3.8avg 3.8 3.5 -132 3.5 -142 +0.3 Over 3.5best at FanDuel
Stephon Castle SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 30 min
5.2avg 5.5 5.5 -132 5.5 -132 -0.3 Under 5.5best at FanDuel
Ace Bailey UTAH vs SA · Rebounds · 29.3 min
5.8avg 5.8 5.5 -102 5.5 -129 +0.3 Over 5.5best at FanDuel
Cooper Flagg DAL vs OKC · Assists · 31.9 min
5.2avg 5.1 5.5• +106 5.5• +114 -0.3 Under 5.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Luka Doncic LAL @ LAC · Assists · 35.5 min
7.8avg 7.8 7.5 -138 7.5 -136 +0.3 Over 7.5best at DraftKings
Kyle Kuzma MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 28.2 min
5.3avg 5.1 5.5 -130 5.5 -139 -0.2 Under 5.5best at FanDuel
Ryan Rollins MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 30.4 min
4.3avg 4.5 4.5 -160 3.5• +121 -0.2 Under 4.5best at FanDuel
Reed Sheppard HOU @ MIL · Assists · 24.8 min
3.7avg 4.1 – 3.5 -106 +0.2 Over 3.5 3 games backBench
Al Horford GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 18.1 min
3.7avg 4.6 – 3.5 -125 +0.2 Over 3.5 2 games backMinutes down 4.2Bench
Jaden McDaniels MIN vs GS · Assists · 32.1 min
2.7avg 2.6 2.5 -120 2.5 -133 +0.2 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
DeMar DeRozan DEN @ NO · Rebounds · 25.9 min
2.3avg 2.6 2.5 -125 2.5 -129 -0.2 Under 2.5best at FanDuel Bench
Aaron Gordon DEN @ NO · Rebounds · 29.4 min
5.7avg 5.4 5.5 -104 5.5 -116 +0.2 Over 5.5best at FanDuel
Christian Braun DEN @ NO · Rebounds · 33.9 min
4.7avg 4.6 4.5 -142 4.5 -133 +0.2 Over 4.5best at DraftKings
De'Aaron Fox SA @ UTAH · Assists · 31 min
6.3avg 6.3 6.5 -138 6.5 -125 -0.2 Under 6.5best at DraftKings
Ace Bailey UTAH vs SA · Assists · 29.3 min
2.3avg 2.3 2.5• -170 2.5• -144 -0.2 Under 2.5best at DraftKings
Victor Wembanyama SA @ UTAH · Assists · 32.2 min
2.7avg 2.7 2.5 -140 2.5 -154 +0.2 Over 2.5best at FanDuel
Ajay Mitchell OKC @ DAL · Rebounds · 25.9 min
3.3avg 3.3 3.5 -125 3.5 -113 -0.2 Under 3.5best at DraftKings Day-To-Day
Darius Garland LAC vs LAL · Assists · 33.6 min
7.3avg 6.7 7.5 -125 7.5• -127 -0.2 Under 7.5best at FanDuel
Keaton Wagler LAC vs LAL · Assists · 25 min
3.7avg 4 3.5 +116 3.5 +101 +0.2 Over 3.5best at FanDuel Bench
Landry Shamet NY @ CHI · Points · 23.3 min
8.7avg 8 8.5 -106 8.5 -105 +0.2 Over 8.5best at DraftKings Bench
Amen Thompson HOU @ MIL · Points · 35.7 min
17.7avg 19 17.5 -128 18.5• -116 +0.2 Over 17.5best at FanDuel
Dylan Harper SA @ UTAH · Points · 28.9 min
15.7avg 15 15.5 -132 15.5• -126 +0.2 Over 15.5best at DraftKings
Tyler Herro MIL vs HOU · Points · 32.1 min
20.6avg 20.7 20.5• -128 20.5 -124 +0.1 Over 20.5best at DraftKings
Victor Wembanyama SA @ UTAH · Points · 32.2 min
24.4avg 24.3 24.5• +100 24.5• -108 -0.1 Under 24.5best at FanDuel
Matisse Thybulle LAL @ LAC · Rebounds · 20.7 min
2.4avg 2 2.5 -104 2.5 -112 -0.1 Under 2.5best at FanDuel
Kobe Sanders LAC vs LAL · Assists · 17.6 min
2.4avg 1.9 2.5 -111 2.5 -106 -0.1 Under 2.5best at DraftKings Bench
Jalen Smith CHI vs NY · Points · 21.7 min
10.6avg 11.1 10.5 +100 10.5 -117 +0.1 Over 10.5best at FanDuel
Miles McBride NY @ CHI · Points · 19 min
6.4avg 7.5 – 6.5 -113 -0.1 Under 6.5 Bench
Myles Turner MIL vs HOU · Rebounds · 26.6 min
5.4avg 5.1 5.5 -136 5.5 -131 -0.1 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
Jonathan Kuminga MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 27.8 min
5.4avg 4.7 5.5 -118 5.5 -106 -0.1 Under 5.5best at DraftKings
Brandin Podziemski GS @ MIN · Rebounds · 31.7 min
5.4avg 5.3 5.5 -142 5.5 -118 -0.1 Under 5.5best at DraftKings 2 games back
Joan Beringer MIN vs GS · Rebounds · 13.3 min
5.6avg 3.8 5.5 +110 5.5 +114 +0.1 Over 5.5best at DraftKings Bench
Nikola Jokic DEN @ NO · Rebounds · 36.3 min
12.6avg 12.6 12.5 -113 12.5 -110 +0.1 Over 12.5best at DraftKings
Julian Champagnie SA @ UTAH · Rebounds · 26.1 min
4.6avg 5.2 4.5 -113 4.5 +100 +0.1 Over 4.5best at DraftKings Bench
Kris Dunn LAC vs LAL · Assists · 28.8 min
4.6avg 4.4 4.5 -115 4.5 -118 +0.1 Over 4.5best at FanDuel
Derrick Jones Jr. LAC vs LAL · Rebounds · 28.3 min
4.4avg 4.2 4.5 -125 4.5 -134 -0.1 Under 4.5best at FanDuel
Buddy Hield CHI vs NY · Points · 13.3 min
6.5avg 7.1 6.5 6.5 PK On the line Bench
Jalen Smith CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 21.7 min
6.5avg 6.7 6.5• 6.5• PK On the line
Josh Giddey CHI vs NY · Rebounds · 28.6 min
6.5avg 7.2 6.5 6.5 PK On the line
Kel'el Ware MIL vs HOU · Points · 19.8 min
10.5avg 11.3 10.5 9.5• PK On the line Bench
Kasparas Jakucionis MIL vs HOU · Points · 21.5 min
7.5avg 7.8 7.5 6.5 PK On the line Bench
De'Anthony Melton GS @ MIN · Assists · 21.2 min
2.5avg 2.8 – 2.5 PK On the line Bench
Brandin Podziemski GS @ MIN · Assists · 31.7 min
3.5avg 3.4 3.5 3.5 PK On the line 2 games back
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC @ DAL · Assists · 34 min
6.5avg 6.7 6.5 6.5 PK On the line

Projection = predicted minutes × his recent rate per minute. "Model spots" are the situations where predicting minutes first has beaten the recent average in testing: first games back, bench players, minutes changes and heavy absences. A dot next to a line means it has moved since it opened.

Every pick, graded

Track record

Units won, season to date

Game picks -30.3uPlayer props +22.5u
-20u 0 +20u Oct 23 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28

1 unit = the amount risked on each pick. Game picks are counted at standard -110; props at the closing price on each book.

By bet type

RecordUnitsROI
Spread27-2452.9%+0.5u+1.1%
Game total18-3335.3%-16.6u-32.6%
Team total46-5645.1%-14.2u-13.9%
All game picks91-11344.6%-30.3u-14.8%

By edge

RecordUnits
Strong (6+ pts)30-2158.8%+6.3u
Lean (2.5 to 6)27-4935.5%-24.5u
Thin (under 2.5)34-4344.2%-12.1u

If the model is any good, the bigger edges should win more often. That's the line to watch as the sample grows.

Closing line value

70%

of spread picks saw the line move toward the model by tip (16 toward, 7 away, 17 no move). Average move +0.30 pts.

Beating the closing line is the best early sign of a real edge, well before the win-loss record means much.

Reading the board

How it works

Edge

How many points the model is past the line. Model has the home team by 7, the line is home -4: a 3-point edge on the home side.

Tiers

Strong 6+ points, lean 2.5 to 6, thin under 2.5. Tiers describe the size of the disagreement, not a promise.

The line we grade against

Game picks lock at the FanDuel line from the morning run and are graded against it, even if the line moves later. "Now" shows the best number available since.

Closing line value

Whether the line moved toward the model's side by tip. Sharp bettors tend to beat the close over time, so it's an early read on whether the edge is real.

Units

Profit or loss per unit risked. Game picks use standard -110 pricing; props use each book's closing price.

Player projections

Each player's minutes are predicted first (role, absences, recent games), then multiplied by his recent scoring, rebounding or assist rate.

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