The read
Model: HOU by 8.4 · 223.2 total
Spread
HOU -7.5
0.9 pt edge
Game total
Over 220.5
2.7 pt edge
MIN total
Over 106.5
0.9 pt edge
HOU total
Over 114.5
1.3 pt edge
Moneyline lean HOU. Model against the spread this season: 42-49 (46%).
The situation
MINLast 5: 2-31 day rest1,059 mi travel5-3 record2 out: Edwards, Jr.
HOULast 5: 4-11 day restHome game 3 in a row7-1 recordWon 2 straight2 out: Capela, Adams
Tale of the tape
119
119.2
46.9%
49.8%
37.4%
39.1%
15.1
13
64.8%
81.6%
15.9
21
14.6
12.5
35
31.6
26.6
28.6
14.6
14.2
8.9
9.5
4.9
5.6
22
19.8
120.5
119
45.3%
51.5%
35.6%
40.3%
14.2
14
66.4%
77.4%
17.8
18
17
12.8
34
30.8
25.2
31.5
14.2
14.8
9.2
8.8
3.8
5.8
22.2
19.2
Points, recent
Last 3: 116.7 vs 113Last 5: 117.8 vs 118.2Last 10: 119 vs 119.2
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | LaMelo Ball | 16 | 3 | 5 | 41% |
| SG | Ayo Dosunmu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 51% |
| SF | Jonathan Kuminga | 12 | 5 | 2 | 43% |
| PF | Jaden McDaniels | 16 | 6 | 3 | 55% |
| C | Rudy Gobert | 7 | 12 | 1 | 40% |
Houston Rockets
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Fred VanVleet | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30% |
| SG | Amen Thompson | 16 | 6 | 3 | 53% |
| SF | Kevin Durant | 20 | 5 | 3 | 55% |
| PF | Jabari Smith Jr | 18 | 6 | 2 | 47% |
| C | Alperen Sengun | 20 | 7 | 6 | 50% |
Recent games
MIN
- W11/02vs Milwaukee Bucks 112-100
- L10/31@ San Antonio Spurs 111-121
- W10/30vs Los Angeles Clippers 127-101
- L10/28vs Golden State Warriors 114-119
- L10/26@ Cleveland Cavaliers 125-127
- W10/25vs Toronto Raptors 117-94
- W10/23@ Orlando Magic 115-93
- W10/21@ Miami Heat 131-106
HOU
- W11/02vs Boston Celtics 109-93
- W10/31vs Oklahoma City Thunder 119-98
- L10/30@ Dallas Mavericks 111-116
- W10/28@ Milwaukee Bucks 132-100
- W10/26vs Atlanta Hawks 120-110
- W10/24@ Atlanta Hawks 121-114
- W10/23@ San Antonio Spurs 114-110
- W10/21vs Dallas Mavericks 128-110
Injury report
Latest update Nov 04, 2026
MIN
-
OutAnthony EdwardsOct 29
Edwards underwent a successful arthroscopic procedure on his right knee Thursday, the Timberwolves announced.
-
OutDonte DiVincenzoOct 05
DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
-
OutTerrence Shannon Jr.Nov 04
Shannon (hip) is out for Wednesday against the Rockets.
HOU
-
OutClint CapelaNov 04
Capela (ankle) is out for Wednesday's game against the Timberwolves.
-
OutSteven AdamsOct 26
Head coach Ime Udoka said Monday that Adams could be out "a week or two" due to his right soleus strain, Lachard Binkley of SI.com reports.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 29.6 | 28.8 | 30.1 | 29 | 50 |
| HOU | 29.1 | 30.9 | 30.1 | 29.1 | 47.5 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| MIN | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 6 of 8 75% | 7 of 8 88% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 5 of 8 62% | 8 of 8 100% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 2 of 8 25% | 4 of 8 50% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 3 of 8 38% | 4 of 8 50% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 6 of 8 75% | 6 of 8 75% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 5 of 8 62% | 8 of 8 100% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 4 of 8 50% | 5 of 8 62% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 5 of 8 62% | 4 of 8 50% |