The read
Model: MIA by 0.1 · 236.5 total
Spread
LAC +4.5
4.4 pt edge
Game total
Over 233.5
3 pt edge
MIA total
Under 119.5
1.2 pt edge
LAC total
Over 114.5
3.7 pt edge
Moneyline lean MIA. Model against the spread this season: 42-49 (46%).
The situation
MIALast 5: 2-31 day restRoad game 2 in a row2-5 record
LACLast 5: 0-51 day restHome game 2 in a row1-6 recordLost 6 straight3 out: Beal, Ingram, Niederhauser
Tale of the tape
118.1
108.1
47.9%
45.0%
34.8%
38.4%
13.4
13.4
73.0%
81.4%
19.3
19.3
10.4
11
31.7
29.6
28.7
25
15.1
19.6
8.1
10.6
5
4.1
21.1
22.1
118.7
108.7
49.0%
44.9%
38.1%
36.6%
13.3
12.3
77.1%
78.8%
21.3
22.3
9
11
32
31.7
28.7
25
15.3
18.3
8.3
11
5.3
4.7
21
27.3
Points, recent
Last 3: 130.3 vs 110.3Last 5: 122 vs 103.8Last 10: 118.1 vs 108.1
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Miami Heat
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Davion Mitchell | 16 | 1 | 8 | 56% |
| SG | Klay Thompson | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41% |
| SF | Andrew Wiggins | 10 | 2 | 1 | 44% |
| PF | Giannis Antetokounmpo Day-To-Day | 28 | 12 | 5 | 58% |
| C | Bam Adebayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 48% |
Los Angeles Clippers
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Darius Garland | 20 | 1 | 6 | 42% |
| SG | Kris Dunn | 9 | 3 | 4 | 47% |
| SF | Rui Hachimura | 13 | 6 | 0 | 35% |
| PF | Derrick Jones Jr | 11 | 4 | 1 | 59% |
| C | Isaiah Jackson | 9 | 6 | 2 | 56% |
Recent games
MIA
- L11/02@ Los Angeles Lakers 117-138
- W10/30vs Indiana Pacers 145-125
- W10/28@ Atlanta Hawks 129-117
- L10/26vs Dallas Mavericks 109-113
- L10/24@ Charlotte Hornets 110-115
- L10/23vs Detroit Pistons 111-128
- L10/21vs Minnesota Timberwolves 106-131
LAC
- L11/02vs Toronto Raptors 118-125
- L11/01@ Golden State Warriors 112-124
- L10/30@ Minnesota Timberwolves 101-127
- L10/28vs Los Angeles Lakers 87-103
- L10/25@ Oklahoma City Thunder 101-108
- L10/23@ Los Angeles Lakers 117-125
- W10/21vs Sacramento Kings 121-96
Injury report
Latest update Nov 04, 2026
MIA
-
Day-To-DayGiannis AntetokounmpoNov 04
Antetokounmpo is probable to play Wednesday against the Clippers due to a sprained right wrist.
-
Day-To-DayMyron GardnerNov 04
Gardner (quadriceps) is listed as questionable for Wednesday's game against the Clippers.
LAC
-
OutBradley BealOct 15
Beal (knee) will not be ready for the start of the regular season, NBA writer Justin Russo reports.
-
OutBrandon IngramNov 02
The Clippers recalled Ingram (Achilles) from the G League's San Diego Clippers on Sunday.
-
OutJordan MillerAug 26
Miller underwent surgery Wednesday to repair a torn left rotator cuff and will be re-evaluated in six months, per Law Murray of The…
-
OutYanic Konan NiederhauserNov 02
The Clippers recalled Niederhauser (foot) from the G League's San Diego Clippers on Sunday.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 30.9 | 30.7 | 26 | 30.6 | 52 |
| LAC | 29.7 | 25.3 | 28.1 | 25 | 44.6 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| MIA | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 2 of 7 29% | 4 of 7 57% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 4 of 7 57% | 3 of 7 43% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 3 of 7 43% | 4 of 7 57% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 4 of 7 57% | 4 of 7 57% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 2 of 7 29% | 6 of 7 86% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 5 of 7 71% | 4 of 7 57% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 2 of 7 29% | 5 of 7 71% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 3 of 7 43% | 3 of 7 43% |