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Away · 4-3 Denver Nuggets
Model 117.7
Home · 3-6 Indiana Pacers
Model 111.9

The read

Model: DEN by 5.8 · 229.6 total
Spread IND +7.5 Model DEN by 5.8 · line IND +7.5 1.7 pt edge
Game total Over 229.5 Model 229.6 pts · line 229.5 0.1 pt edge
DEN total Over 117.5 Model 117.7 pts · line 117.5 0.2 pt edge
IND total Over 111.5 Model 111.9 pts · line 111.5 0.4 pt edge

Moneyline lean DEN. Model against the spread this season: 52-64 (45%).

The situation

DENLast 5: 3-2
2 days rest1,001 mi travel4-3 record1 out: Strawther
INDLast 5: 1-4
2 days rest385 mi travel3-6 record4 out: Sheppard, Furphy, McConnell…

Tale of the tape

115.4 111.2
49.0% 46.5%
37.2% 32.8%
11.9 12.1
80.9% 75.1%
22.4 19.1
10.9 9.8
30.7 31.9
27.6 26.8
15.1 14.9
10.7 7.8
3.9 4.9
19.7 20.8
Points, recent Last 3: 121.7 vs 100.3Last 5: 116.6 vs 107Last 10: 115.4 vs 111.2

Projected lineups

Season per-game averages

Denver Nuggets

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Jamal Murray 255546%
SG Christian Braun 143256%
SF Cameron Johnson 94246%
PF Aaron Gordon 125242%
C Nikola Jokic 239951%

Indiana Pacers

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Andrew Nembhard 141538%
SG Kelly Oubre Jr Day-To-Day 72134%
SF Aaron Nesmith 111136%
PF Pascal Siakam 186346%
C Ivica Zubac 33024%

Recent games

DEN

  • W11/04vs Toronto Raptors 128-109
  • L11/02vs Portland Trail Blazers 110-118
  • W10/30@ Phoenix Suns 127-120
  • W10/28@ New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
  • L10/26vs Golden State Warriors 114-134
  • W10/24vs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
  • L10/22@ Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96

IND

  • W11/04@ Memphis Grizzlies 107-103
  • L11/02vs Atlanta Hawks 104-108
  • L11/01vs Brooklyn Nets 90-98
  • L10/30@ Miami Heat 125-145
  • L10/28vs Philadelphia 76ers 109-114
  • L10/26@ Milwaukee Bucks 102-110
  • W10/25@ Brooklyn Nets 136-109
  • L10/23vs Dallas Mavericks 105-121
  • W10/21@ New Orleans Pelicans 123-120

Injury report

Latest update Nov 06, 2026

DEN

  • OutJulian StrawtherOct 17

    Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver…

  • Day-To-DayDeMar DeRozanNov 06

    DeRozan (back) is probable for Saturday's game against the Pacers.

IND

  • OutBen SheppardOct 28

    Head coach Rick Carlise confirmed Sheppard will miss "months" after undergoing surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee, Tony…

  • OutJohnny FurphyOct 30

    Furphy (knee) is practicing with the G League's Noblesville Boom, per Alex Golden of SI.com.

  • OutT.J. McConnellNov 06

    McConnell (hamstring) is questionable for Saturday's game against Denver.

  • OutTyrese HaliburtonOct 28

    Haliburton (hamstring) will miss at least the next two weeks of action, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.

  • Day-To-DayKelly Oubre Jr.Nov 06

    Oubre (calf) is questionable for Saturday's game against Denver.

Quarters & race to

Per game1st Q2nd Q3rd Q4th QPaint
DEN30.92927.42647.7
IND29.424.828.728.350.2

First to 10 / 15 this season

DENIND
First to 10, Q1 3 of 7 43% 4 of 9 44%
First to 10, Q2 2 of 7 29% 2 of 9 22%
First to 10, Q3 5 of 7 71% 5 of 9 56%
First to 10, Q4 2 of 7 29% 5 of 9 56%
First to 15, Q1 5 of 7 71% 5 of 9 56%
First to 15, Q2 3 of 7 43% 3 of 9 33%
First to 15, Q3 3 of 7 43% 5 of 9 56%
First to 15, Q4 4 of 7 57% 3 of 9 33%

League-wide quarter leaders →