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Away · 5-3 Denver Nuggets
Model 106.8
Home · 7-3 Houston Rockets
Model 112.8

The read

Model: HOU by 6 · 219.6 total
Spread DEN +8.5 Model HOU by 6 · line HOU -8.5 2.5 pt edge
Game total Over 219.5 Model 219.6 pts · line 219.5 0.1 pt edge
DEN total Over 105.5 Model 106.8 pts · line 105.5 1.3 pt edge
HOU total Under 114.5 Model 112.8 pts · line 114.5 1.7 pt edge

Moneyline lean HOU. Model against the spread this season: 59-71 (45%).

The situation

DENLast 5: 4-1
1 day restRoad game 2 in a row867 mi travel5-3 recordWon 2 straight
HOULast 5: 2-3
1 day rest1,016 mi travel7-3 recordLost 2 straight3 out: Capela, Tshiebwe, Adams

Tale of the tape

115.2 116
48.5% 47.9%
36.1% 37.6%
11.6 12.7
81.2% 82.0%
21.6 20.9
10.6 12.8
32.1 31.1
27.8 26.7
13.6 14.6
9.9 8.9
3.6 6.1
18.9 19.4
Points, recent Last 3: 117.3 vs 105Last 5: 116.6 vs 109Last 10: 115.2 vs 116

Projected lineups

Season per-game averages

Denver Nuggets

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Jamal Murray Day-To-Day 245646%
SG Christian Braun Day-To-Day 133252%
SF Cameron Johnson Day-To-Day 104150%
PF Aaron Gordon Day-To-Day 125242%
C Nikola Jokic Day-To-Day 2210949%

Houston Rockets

PosPlayerPTSREBASTFG%
PG Fred VanVleet 113535%
SG Amen Thompson 156350%
SF Kevin Durant 205353%
PF Jabari Smith Jr 176251%
C Alperen Sengun 197646%

Recent games

DEN

  • W11/07@ Indiana Pacers 114-102
  • W11/04vs Toronto Raptors 128-109
  • L11/02vs Portland Trail Blazers 110-118
  • W10/30@ Phoenix Suns 127-120
  • W10/28@ New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
  • L10/26vs Golden State Warriors 114-134
  • W10/24vs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
  • L10/22@ Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96

HOU

  • L11/07@ Phoenix Suns 99-102
  • L11/04vs Minnesota Timberwolves 107-117
  • W11/02vs Boston Celtics 109-93
  • W10/31vs Oklahoma City Thunder 119-98
  • L10/30@ Dallas Mavericks 111-116
  • W10/28@ Milwaukee Bucks 132-100
  • W10/26vs Atlanta Hawks 120-110
  • W10/24@ Atlanta Hawks 121-114
  • W10/23@ San Antonio Spurs 114-110
  • W10/21vs Dallas Mavericks 128-110

Injury report

Latest update Nov 09, 2026

DEN

  • OutJulian StrawtherOct 17

    Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver…

  • Day-To-DayAaron GordonNov 08

    Gordon (lower body injury management) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rockets.

  • Day-To-DayCameron JohnsonNov 08

    Johnson (lower body) is questionable for Monday's game against Houston.

  • Day-To-DayChristian BraunNov 08

    Braun (calf/illness) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against Houston.

  • Day-To-DayDeMar DeRozanNov 08

    DeRozan is questionable for Monday's game against the Rockets due to lower back spasms.

  • Day-To-DayJamal MurrayNov 08

    Murray is questionable for Monday's game against the Rockets due to a left shin contusion.

  • Day-To-DayNikola JokicNov 08

    Jokic (elbow) is listed as questionable for Monday's game in Houston.

HOU

  • OutClint CapelaNov 08

    Capela (ankle) is listed as out for Monday's game against Denver.

  • OutOscar TshiebweNov 09

    Tshiebwe has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Nuggets due to an illness.

  • OutSteven AdamsNov 05

    Head coach Ime Udoka said Wednesday that Adams (calf) is still without a timetable to return and will be evaluated on a "weekly basis,"…

Quarters & race to
Per game1st Q2nd Q3rd Q4th QPaint
DEN30.43027.325.848.5
HOU28.629.829.62846

First to 10 / 15 this season

DENHOU
First to 10, Q1 4 of 8 50% 7 of 10 70%
First to 10, Q2 3 of 8 38% 8 of 10 80%
First to 10, Q3 6 of 8 75% 6 of 10 60%
First to 10, Q4 2 of 8 25% 5 of 10 50%
First to 15, Q1 6 of 8 75% 7 of 10 70%
First to 15, Q2 4 of 8 50% 10 of 10 100%
First to 15, Q3 3 of 8 38% 7 of 10 70%
First to 15, Q4 4 of 8 50% 4 of 10 40%

League-wide quarter leaders →