The read
Model: DEN by 15 · 238.8 total
Spread
DEN -11.5
3.5 pt edge
Game total
Over 235.5
3.3 pt edge
DEN total
Over 124.5
2.4 pt edge
NO total
Over 111.5
0.4 pt edge
Moneyline lean DEN. Model against the spread this season: 73-94 (44%).
The situation
DENLast 5: 3-22 days restRoad game 4 in a row359 mi travel6-4 record
NOLast 5: 0-5Back to backHome game 3 in a row4-9 recordLost 5 straight5 out: Mathurin, McGowens, Murray…
Tale of the tape
114.5
116.5
48.3%
46.9%
35.4%
32.2%
11.5
9.2
79.5%
83.4%
20.2
26.7
10.3
10.5
31.5
30.9
27.5
24.2
12.3
16
9
10.2
4.6
5.1
18.5
24.4
108.7
114.4
46.2%
46.6%
36.0%
32.2%
12
8.5
76.4%
82.6%
16.7
27.9
10.5
10.1
33.2
32
26.5
24.1
12.3
17.2
7.3
11.5
4.8
5.4
17
24
Points, recent
Last 3: 112.3 vs 103Last 5: 115 vs 108.2Last 10: 114.5 vs 114
Projected lineups
Season per-game averages
Denver Nuggets
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Jamal Murray | 26 | 5 | 5 | 49% |
| SG | Christian Braun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 48% |
| SF | Cameron Johnson | 12 | 3 | 1 | 49% |
| PF | Aaron Gordon | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38% |
| C | Nikola Jokic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 51% |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Pos | Player | PTS | REB | AST | FG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PG | Jeremiah Fears | 15 | 4 | 5 | 44% |
| SG | Herbert Jones | 5 | 2 | 1 | 34% |
| SF | Trey Murphy III Out | 15 | 4 | 3 | 44% |
| PF | Saddiq Bey | 16 | 3 | 2 | 46% |
| C | Karlo Matkovic | 7 | 3 | 1 | 53% |
Recent games
DEN
- W11/11@ Memphis Grizzlies 123-118
- L11/09@ Houston Rockets 100-110
- W11/07@ Indiana Pacers 114-102
- W11/04vs Toronto Raptors 128-109
- L11/02vs Portland Trail Blazers 110-118
- W10/30@ Phoenix Suns 127-120
- W10/28@ New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
- L10/26vs Golden State Warriors 114-134
- W10/24vs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
- L10/22@ Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96
NO
- L11/13vs Memphis Grizzlies 111-142
- L11/11vs Brooklyn Nets 111-145
- L11/09@ Golden State Warriors 87-138
- L11/08@ Los Angeles Clippers 123-139
- L11/06vs Minnesota Timberwolves 109-115
- W11/04vs Utah Jazz 120-113
- W11/02@ Memphis Grizzlies 135-134
- W10/31vs Atlanta Hawks 121-99
- W10/29vs Sacramento Kings 132-120
- L10/28vs Denver Nuggets 91-104
Injury report
Latest update Nov 14, 2026
This injury report looks out of date (newest entry Nov 14, 2026). Check the team's latest news before relying on it.
DEN
-
OutJulian StrawtherOct 17
Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver…
NO
-
OutBennedict MathurinNov 14
Mathurin is out for Saturday's game against the Nuggets due to left plantar fasciitis.
-
OutBryce McGowensNov 14
McGowens (elbow) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Nuggets.
-
OutDejounte MurrayNov 13
Murray (ankle) is out for Friday's game against Memphis.
-
OutTrendon WatfordNov 14
Watford (ankle) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against Denver.
-
OutTrey Murphy IIINov 14
Murphy (knees) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Nuggets.
Quarters & race to
| Per game | 1st Q | 2nd Q | 3rd Q | 4th Q | Paint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 30.2 | 28.6 | 27.5 | 26.7 | 48.2 |
| NO | 27.9 | 29.1 | 30.2 | 26.5 | 56.5 |
First to 10 / 15 this season
| DEN | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| First to 10, Q1 | 5 of 10 50% | 5 of 13 38% |
| First to 10, Q2 | 3 of 10 30% | 7 of 13 54% |
| First to 10, Q3 | 7 of 10 70% | 6 of 13 46% |
| First to 10, Q4 | 4 of 10 40% | 5 of 13 38% |
| First to 15, Q1 | 7 of 10 70% | 4 of 13 31% |
| First to 15, Q2 | 4 of 10 40% | 7 of 13 54% |
| First to 15, Q3 | 4 of 10 40% | 7 of 13 54% |
| First to 15, Q4 | 6 of 10 60% | 4 of 13 31% |